We are starting 2012 on a postive note, and i have spent a good chunk of my holidays into further research on the potential of 2012. I covered numerous topics including fundamental valuation of s&p 500, institutional expectations, potential risk factors including bank and soverign debt levels, etc. I hope to put all this together as an article for next weekend. Meanwhile, here is a chart covering my forecasts during 2011. We can be happy, when we consider that big hedge fund managers like John Paulson lost over 50% of their portfolio. spx itself has gone nowhere during 2011, but the high volatility is a godsend for traders, and offered tremendous returns for the smart trader.
I wish all my readers a successful trading year ahead, in 2012.